The Ultimate Guide to Building Projections for Your Next DFS Contests

Introduction

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) contests have become increasingly popular, and building effective projections is a crucial skill for success. In this guide, we’ll walk you through the process of creating accurate projections, discussing key considerations, and providing practical examples.

Understanding Key Considerations

Before diving into projection-building, it’s essential to understand the factors that influence player performance. These include:

• Injury Reports: Staying up-to-date on injury reports is vital for identifying players who are at risk of missing games or suffering reduced performances.
• Lineup Changes: Pay attention to lineup changes, as these can significantly impact a player’s expected production.
• Weather Conditions: Inclement weather can drastically alter game conditions, affecting player performance and overall projected scores.

Data Sources

Effective projection-building relies on access to reliable data sources. This includes:

• Official League Sites: Official league sites often provide injury reports, lineup changes, and other relevant information.
• DFS Websites: Reputable DFS websites, such as ESPN or FanDuel, may offer additional data, including fantasy rankings and player news.

Building Projections

Now that we’ve covered the key considerations and data sources, let’s move on to building projections. This process involves:

1. Player Selection: Identify players who are likely to perform well based on their past performance, injury reports, and other relevant factors.
2. Expected Scoring: Estimate a player’s expected scoring based on their projected production.
3. Ranking: Rank players based on their expected scoring.

Practical Example

Let’s consider an example of building projections for a fictional DFS contest.

In this example, we’ve identified two players and estimated their expected scoring based on our understanding of the factors that influence player performance. We’ve also ranked them based on their expected scoring.

Conclusion

Building accurate projections is a critical skill for success in DFS contests. By understanding key considerations, accessing reliable data sources, and following a structured approach, you can create effective projections that help you make informed decisions. Remember to always prioritize accuracy over aggression, as the consequences of incorrect projections can be severe.

**What’s your strategy for building projections? Share with us in the comments below!